American Government
Parties and Electoral Behavior
Public Opinion
Political Psychology
Electoral Systems
Statistical Methods for Political Analysis

Research Fellow, Stanford Institute for the Quantitative Study of Society

Undergraduate Courses
Statistical Methods II and III
Doing Political Science

Graduate Courses
Statistical Methods II and III
Topics in American Political Behavior
Topics in Statistical Modeling

Articles

with Joshua Clinton and Doug Rivers. ‘‘The Statistical Analysis of Roll Call Data.’’ American Political Science Review. 2004. 98:(2).

with D. Sunshine Hillygus. ‘‘Voter Decision-Making in Election 2000: Campaign Effects, Partisan Activation, and the Clinton Legacy’’ American Journal of Political Science. 2003. 47(4):583-596.

‘‘Multidimensional Analysis of Roll Call Data via Bayesian Simulation: Identification, Estimation, Inference and Model Checking’’ 2001. Political Analysis. 9(3):227-241.

‘‘Estimation and Inference are ‘Missing Data’ Problems: Unifying Social Science Statistics via Bayesian Simulation.’’ 2000. Political Analysis. 8(4):307--332.

"Estimation and Inference via Bayesian Simulation: an introduction to Markov Chain Monte Carlo". 2000. American Journal of Political Science.

"Non-Compulsory Voting in Australia?: what surveys can (and can't) tell us". 1998. Electoral Studies. forthcoming.

"Correcting Surveys for Non-Response and Measurement Error using Auxiliary Information". 1998. Electoral Studies. forthcoming.

"Pauline Hanson, the Mainstream, and Political Elites: the place of race in Australian political ideology". 1998.Australian Journal of Political Science. Volume 33. forthcoming.

with Neal Beck. "Beyond Linearity By Default: Generalized Additive Models"American Journal of Political Science. 1998. 42:596-627.

"Some More of All That: a Reply to Charnock" Australian Journal of Political Science. 1995. 30:347-55.

with Gary Marks. "Forecasting Australian Elections: 1993 And All That" Aus-tralian Journal of Political Science. 1994. 29:277-91.

with Bruce Western. "Bayesian Inference for Comparative Research" American Political Science Review. 1994. 88:412-23.

"Measuring Electoral Bias: Australia, 1949-1993"British Journal of Political Science. 1994. 24:319-57.

"Split Parties Finish Last: Preferences, Pluralities and the 1957 Queensland election" Australian Journal of Political Science. 1992. 27:434-48.

with Francis Vella. "Electoral Redistricting and Endogenous Partisan Control" Political Analysis. 1991. 3:155-71.

with Richard G. Niemi. "Bias and Responsiveness in State Legislative Districting" Legislative Studies Quarterly. 1991. 16(2):183-202.

with Richard G. Niemi and Laura R. Winsky. "Candidacies and Competitiveness in Multimember Districts" Legislative Studies Quarterly. 1991. 16(1):91-110.